Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 6.955556 8.089614 9.313759 10.728972 12.315416 14.034360 16.033014
2026-01-25 5.209384 6.673931 8.377295 10.487895 13.014817 15.924453 19.508291
2026-02-01 4.126071 5.708845 7.660404 10.209567 13.414139 17.269971 22.216926
2026-02-08 3.365936 4.984754 7.084921 9.954340 13.711342 18.397605 24.610659
2026-02-15 2.764627 4.364009 6.539095 9.634725 13.837738 19.248639 26.629181
2026-02-22 2.414700 4.032872 6.326017 9.706086 14.438201 20.692779 29.426047
2026-03-01 2.117656 3.733160 6.113593 9.738881 14.959428 22.026577 32.104180
2026-03-08 1.881204 3.491039 5.951711 9.814352 15.521920 23.417232 34.889924
2026-03-15 1.664558 3.249788 5.761328 9.820591 15.967803 24.646446 37.481565
2026-03-22 1.534705 3.134424 5.750158 10.086342 16.792853 26.426817 40.888369
2026-03-29 1.408417 3.007961 5.705728 10.289277 17.523472 28.088691 44.173069
2026-04-05 1.269548 2.840205 5.575083 10.339368 18.013763 29.408438 46.999613
2026-04-12 1.086886 2.568079 5.244743 10.043622 17.955141 29.922561 48.689186
2026-04-19 0.938436 2.340696 4.968624 9.812904 17.978324 30.549524 50.555133
2026-04-26 0.805548 2.124235 4.688615 9.549286 17.924433 31.043926 52.224086
2026-05-03 0.693151 1.933116 4.434689 9.307671 17.885069 31.547332 53.908621
2026-05-10 0.589032 1.742618 4.160720 9.005192 17.719281 31.834499 55.256875
2026-05-17 0.535141 1.660364 4.092084 9.072719 18.184486 33.137132 58.212975
2026-05-24 0.483555 1.575210 4.008434 9.103753 18.583224 34.340327 61.041241
2026-05-31 0.440775 1.505201 3.949042 9.175176 19.052803 35.669938 64.101603
2026-06-07 0.397199 1.425471 3.860290 9.181081 19.401386 36.806030 66.877696
2026-06-14 0.375596 1.402524 3.894264 9.432624 20.205403 38.724883 70.964775
2026-06-21 0.351494 1.368437 3.899512 9.624755 20.905608 40.486367 74.836143